Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010
2025-05-04 0.000005 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000010 0.000013 0.000018
2025-05-25 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021
2025-06-01 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024
2025-06-08 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000028
2025-06-15 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000032
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000019 0.000036
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000021 0.000041
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000045
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000052
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000026 0.000061
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000028 0.000070
2025-08-03 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000031 0.000083
2025-08-10 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000033 0.000096
2025-08-17 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000036 0.000113
2025-08-24 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000038 0.000126
2025-08-31 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000016 0.000041 0.000145
2025-09-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000044 0.000170
2025-09-14 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000046 0.000187
2025-09-21 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000049 0.000214
2025-09-28 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000050 0.000234